Challenges of the API Economy for the Next 10 years
summary
Ten concrete predictions for the next decade: APIs become the business (AWS, Stripe, Twilio scale into core revenue lines—examples cited: AWS ~$20B, Stripe ~$32B, Twilio ~$20B, eBay ~$25B from APIs), small scope products scale globally (Avalara/AvaTax tax API as a tiny bolt that sells everywhere), multiple API technologies coexist (SOAP, REST, GraphQL, gRPC accumulate), API tooling and lifecycles open source, APIs become discoverable and machine-consumable (Superface, JSON‑LD experiments), legal and technical contracts merge (La Parisien issues policies via APIs), AI stays human‑in‑the‑loop (Scale), and bulk data ships by truck (AWS Snowmobile). 10 predictions and Avalara illustrate concrete numbers and products.
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chapters (15)
- 0:00Intro
- 7:28API capabilities become the business
- 9:45API products will diminish in scope
- 11:34API will be the business horse for business domination
- 14:56A proliferation of new API technologies
- 17:36The whole API cycle will be open sourced
- 18:31We will discover APIs
- 19:40Automated API discovery
- 20:59New API skills
- 22:03Data regulation
- 23:20Technical contract and legal contract
- 24:41AI indistinguishable from humans
- 26:12AI will become a social and political challenge
- 27:08Bonus
- 28:16Conclusion
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