~/talk

Introduction to Real Options through the Product Backlog

TalkinJapaneseat Regional Scrum Gathering Tokyo 2026 · 2026-01-07..01-09· [engineering-leadership]
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slides:none on file

Argues that a product backlog should be treated as a set of real options and ordered to maximize the value of information rather than simple priority. Uses industry data (only ~20–25% of built features are used; pruning often removes ~50% of backlog) and historical failure (DOD 2167A) to support pruning and removal during refinement. Presents a procurement system example where releasing without a cancel button reduced errors, sped operations, and likely cut development cost roughly in half, illustrating that refinement should focus on removing items, not adding them.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 1:45What are real options?
  3. 10:21Real options in business
  4. 14:42Waterfall and lost options
  5. 18:36Waste in software
  6. 22:33Minimizing waste with options
  7. 27:15Prioritizing backlog items
  8. 31:50Scrum and option value
  9. 36:29Case study and example
  10. 42:52Key takeaways
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