~/talk

Myth & Truth behind Artificial General Intelligence

Talkat DSC Europe 2022 · 2022-11-14..11-18· [large-language-models]
links:none on file
slides:none on file

Claim: current deep learning on GPUs and TPUs cannot produce AGI because it is statistical and power-hungry; building AGI requires neuromorphic processors that mimic brain memory+compute and spiking signals. Evidence: brain-scale is about 100 billion neurons running at ~30 watts vs megawatts for large datacenters. Existing platforms like Spinnaker and BrainScaleS reach roughly mouse-scale (orders of magnitude below human) but use far less energy. Projection: with scaling of neuromorphic hardware and software, human-level AGI plausibly appears within decades.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00AGI myths and truths
  2. 1:09General vs narrow intelligence
  3. 2:33Why narrow AI falls short
  4. 3:38Gardner’s nine intelligences
  5. 5:03Measuring intelligence progress
  6. 6:27Path to AGI is multidisciplinary
  7. 6:48Biological vs non-biological intelligence
  8. 8:58Hierarchy in biological systems
  9. 11:28AGI hardware options
  10. 13:16Computing power evolution
  11. 14:41Moore’s Law limits
  12. 15:43Energy gap: brains vs computers
  13. 16:27Raw compute can’t achieve AGI
  14. 17:12Neuromorphic computing
  15. 18:39Neuromorphic hardware limits
  16. 20:05Neuromorphic scaling potential
  17. 21:06Analog vs digital neuromorphic
  18. 22:31Quantum computing’s role
  19. 23:13Digital vs neuromorphic vs quantum
  20. 24:17Physics and neuroscience for AGI
  21. 25:21Objective vs subjective AGI
  22. 26:04AGI theories hardware data
  23. 26:49Scaling to brain size
  24. 27:32Global AGI investments
  25. 27:52AGI risks and should we build
  26. 28:34AGI coexistence scenarios
  27. 29:57Why deep learning fails
  28. 30:39AGI timeline and takeaways
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