~/talk

Use case in demand forecasting

Talkat DSC Europe 2022 · 2022-11-14..11-18· [machine-learning, data-engineering]
name:M. Mozina
links:none on file
links:none on file
slides:none on file

DataLab builds a cloud pipeline on Google Cloud using BigQuery, Vertex AI and Python to produce 5 million forecasts/day for a 90-day horizon across ~200 fresh SKUs and 600 stores. A single feature-rich model (horizon as a feature plus weather, competition, promotions, lagged sales and season start flags) replaces many per-horizon models, runs daily, is A/B tested from a 13-store pilot, and shows lower error, higher order acceptance and improvements in revenue, out-of-stock and waste.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Start
  2. 5:05Many areas of Fortenova Group have potential to be transformed through Data, we are starting with high impact use cases in retail
  3. 7:07Demand patterns and drivers
  4. 13:18Multi-step time series forecasting with machine learning
  5. 15:39Machine learning is an iterative process: it fits well the agile methodology
  6. 17:58Evaluation of an iteration: 1 improvements of accuracy 2 is there a visible difference in forecasts?
  7. 22:38Monitoring model performance is key part of the process - Data Studio enables easy sharing with all business stakeholders
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