Beware of Survivorship Bias!
Talkat JCON Europe 2023 · on Tuesday, 2023-06-20· at 16:00· Cinema 6, Im Mediapark 1, 50670 Köln, Germany·
summary
Walks through a concrete failed experiment: trying blockchain for a 500-person works council and concluding a normal database is safer after decision models; cites large government flops like 15 years €100M cancellation (Dutch registry) and 11 years £9.8B stall (UK patient records) to show over‑engineering. Offers tactical, reproducible advice: read schedules top‑to‑bottom, check hype‑cycle stage, ask about drawbacks, tinker and replicate the presenter’s setup, use Stack Overflow and dependency‑tree includes to surface real failure modes.
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chapters (5)
- 0:00Introduction to survivorship bias
- 15:31Understanding survivorship bias
- 25:12Beating bias at conferences
- 35:26Post-conference action plan
- 47:10Key takeaways and wrap-up
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