Crime in the Pandemic A look at changes in Los Angeles crime during Covid-19
summary
Los Angeles open data from 2010–Aug 2021 and scientific Python/Jupyter + time‑series ML (including triple exponential smoothing) show overall reported crime drops ~9.1% during core COVID, burglary-from-vehicle −24%, forgery −51% then −31%, general theft aggregate −28%, and battery/simple assault at multi-year lows. Contrastingly anti-Asian incidents rise ~141% in core COVID and another 125% in recovery (about a fivefold increase), with battery up ~3×, threats 4×, vandalism 2× and new ADW/bomb scare reports; vehicle thefts instead climb ~35%, linked to chip-driven used-car scarcity.
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chapters (13)
- 0:00Start
- 2:23INTRO COVID'S ECONOMIC IMPACT WHAT ABOUT CRIME IN LAI?
- 4:57ASSUMPTIONS & METHODOLOGY
- 6:49CRIMES OVERALL: BURGLARY FROM VEHICLE II
- 8:38CRIMES OVERALL: BATTERY SIMPLE ASSAULT II
- 9:09ANTI-ASIAN HATE CRIMES: 2 MAIN QUESTIONS
- 10:23ANTI-ASIAN HATE CRIMES: HATE CRIMES AND TERRORISM
- 16:11ANTI-ASIAN HATE CRIMES: PRE-COVID VS COVID
- 17:13ANTI-ASIAN HATE CRIMES: ESCALATION
- 18:32VEHICLE THEFT: WHY WE EXPECT A MAJOR DECLINE
- 19:30VEHICLE THEFT: WHY DID IT INCREASE?
- 22:45CONCLUSION
- 24:15ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
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