~/talk

Experiments, the Good, the Bad, and the Beautiful

slides:none on file

Argues for replacing grand "experiments" with tiny actionable trials, showing why randomized science is usually impossible in orgs and why small simple fast and frugal trials work better; warns about placebo effects (roughly 50% improvement in placebo groups), sunk-cost bias, the backfire effect, and bad A/B practices that lack hypotheses; gives concrete moves like a time-boxed two-week standup trial, probe‑sense‑respond sequencing, Menlo/“open Friday” as accidental wins, and using humility over one-off proof.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 2:12Good stories
  3. 3:37Experiments
  4. 6:42B Tests
  5. 8:12Experiment
  6. 10:11Message
  7. 10:56One trial doesnt prove anything
  8. 11:55The placebo effect
  9. 15:09What can you do with trials
  10. 16:25Small is important
  11. 18:05Why simple
  12. 18:58Transparency
  13. 21:53Timebox
  14. 23:20The Bad
  15. 24:24Better Ways
  16. 25:12Context Adapt
  17. 26:12Probe
  18. 27:50Alexander Fleming
  19. 29:42SIPC
  20. 30:41Prepare to learn
  21. 32:31The innovators hypothesis
  22. 33:51The Hippos
  23. 34:53The Biggest Danger
  24. 35:13Awareness
  25. 40:01Dont argue
  26. 40:47Culture of experimentation
  27. 41:47Long list of experiments
  28. 43:41Big Problems Dont Have Big Solutions
  29. 45:54How do you differentiate from the Toyota Kata philosophy
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