~/talk

How to Steal an Election

Talkat NDC London 2020 · 2020-01-27..01-31· [data-science, policy-and-regulation]
links:none on file
slides:none on file

Demonstrates concrete ways data science can swing results: using segmentation to 2,000 voters (31 marginal UK seats with margins under ~2,000 votes), redrawing districts via gerrymandering, rejecting postal ballots, and caging through ID rules to suppress turnout. Applies behavioral tricks (compensation, broken‑windows, Pygmalion, obedience), exploits a post‑factual public (the “£350m” claim example), and runs A/B and uplift testing with microtargeted social ads where no regulator checks content, optimizing spend on persuadables rather than sure things or lost causes.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Start
  2. 0:59So, what are we doing here?
  3. 3:56Macro / Micro Scale
  4. 5:09Macro Scale
  5. 5:20Segmentation / Clustering
  6. 7:18Gerrymandering
  7. 8:24Tossing
  8. 9:22Caging
  9. 13:27Bribery
  10. 14:36Blackmail
  11. 15:24Behavioural Psychology
  12. 15:52Demo: I want someone killed
  13. 17:30Psychological Tricks
  14. 17:41Compensation Effect
  15. 18:15The Power of Names
  16. 19:06The Broken Window Effect
  17. 20:12The Pygmalion Effect
  18. 21:05Pressure To Conform
  19. 21:38Obedience To Authority
  20. 23:06System Justification Theory
  21. 24:20Vote Status Quo: Inject Fear
  22. 26:37Vote Change: Better Off/More Stable
  23. 33:44Simple ideas are deemed true
  24. 36:02How did we get here?!
  25. 42:39Demo: Tomorrow's Weather
  26. 48:42A/B/C Testing
  27. 50:08Between Measures Testing
  28. 50:55Uplift Modelling
  29. 53:30The SNP
  30. 54:23Silence The Media
  31. 58:01Cancel Culture
  32. 59:30Provide Your Own News
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