Quantifying Democracy and Freedom with Human Rights Metrics
summary
Compares country-level fertility (World Bank) to girls’ upper secondary completion (UNESCO, Barro‑Lee) and to Democracy Index and Freedom House scores using scatter plots and trend lines for ~147 countries. Finds a strong negative correlation: most full democracies sit below the replacement rate (~2.1–2.3), with Israel a clear outlier (national fertility above 3, non‑ultra‑Orthodox Jews rising from ~2.0 to ~2.6), China low due to administrative control, and Kazakhstan questionable. Conclusion: education correlates with lower fertility but concrete exceptions point to policy, cultural and medical drivers.
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chapters (8)
- 0:00Introduction and motivation
- 2:25Inspiration from Jeffrey Sachs
- 10:24Education and fertility correlation
- 17:04Democracy and freedom metrics
- 23:31Democracy and fertility trends
- 26:22Human rights beyond education
- 29:58Israel's demographic miracle
- 33:59Conclusions and future work
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