~/talk

Software estimation – embracing nuance and controlled chaos

on YouTube 29m
Talkat LeadDev New York 2022 · 2022-04-05..04-07· [engineering-leadership, developer-experience]

speaker

name:Karl Sanford
github:krsanford

resources

video:https://youtu.be/EDAMeabOpMI
slides:none on file

summary

Estimation starts from the admission that everyone is bad at predicting the future and improves by naming uncertainty: use cone of uncertainty ranges not single points, separate effort vs duration, and avoid unwarranted precision. Practical tactics include count and compute, decomposition, historical data, expert judgment and proxy estimates like t-shirt sizing; defend estimates against peer pressure, communicate ranges that expose risk, and treat “done” as a negotiated outcome rather than an implicit promise.

AI-written summary · about

chapters (6)

  1. 0:00Start
  2. 1:45What is an estimate?
  3. 5:11Estimates Include A Range
  4. 8:49Estimation Error
  5. 17:52Techniques To Help
  6. 23:50Remember...

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