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Statistical Inference and Privacy, Part I

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Differential privacy adds explicit noise (Laplace around a truncated mean) so standard estimators give biased, anti-conservative p‑values and confidence intervals even at large n; variance from the mechanism grows with the data range B so small B induces truncation bias and large B inflates intervals (examples show intervals becoming an order of magnitude wider). Remedies model the mechanism as a nuisance — using a marginal likelihood or measurement‑error surrogates and MCMC/variational/bootstrap approximations — yielding nearly optimal DP confidence intervals under specified loss.

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  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:35Outline
  3. 1:47Feinberg Problem
  4. 6:10Data Privacy
  5. 9:27Physical Inference
  6. 12:05Differential Privacy
  7. 15:25Differential Privacy Interpretation
  8. 29:11Sampling Distributions
  9. 32:19Adding Noise
  10. 40:26Variance of Noise
  11. 43:31Interval Estimation
  12. 47:15Marginal likelihood
  13. 47:55surrogate
  14. 48:30sample sizes
  15. 51:52loss function
  16. 54:22differentially private
  17. 55:32design
  18. 58:41data quality
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