~/talk

The Overlap Gap Property in Principal Submatrix Recovery

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Model: n×n Gaussian matrix with an nρ×nρ planted submatrix of mean λ/n. Information-theoretic boundary shows approximate recovery threshold at λ about 2√(1/ρ · log(1/ρ)), while a naive spectral method needs λ ≳ 1/ρ. A Parisi‑style variational limit for a restricted likelihood reveals a non‑monotonic overlap curve (an overlap gap property) for intermediate λ ≈ ρ^{-1/2+α}, and that local Markov chains started near random overlap take exponential time to reach good overlap.

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  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:52Premise
  3. 1:44Structural Evidence
  4. 7:03The Problem
  5. 10:12Restricted likelihood
  6. 25:20Local Markov chains
  7. 27:10Scaling regimes
  8. 29:10Random optimization
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