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TurboTest: Learning When Less is Enough through Early Termination of Internet Speed Tests

Talkat NSDI '26 · 2026-05-04..05-06· [data-science, machine-learning]
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A deployable two-stage system decouples Stage 1 regressor (predicts final throughput from partial TCP info: RTT, retransmissions, congestion window, throughput samples) from a Stage 2 classifier that decides optimal stopping; a transformer-based termination model exposes ε tunable accuracy tolerance. Evaluated on 1M M-Lab NDT tests (2024–2025), TURBOTEST cuts data transfer by 1.8–4.4× vs. BBR heuristics and, at ε=5%, shrinks a 12 PB/month workload to ~1 PB while reducing median error.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00TurboTest introduction
  2. 1:20Speed test scaling costs
  3. 2:22Speed test data costs
  4. 3:26Heuristic early termination limits
  5. 4:51Two-stage ML early termination
  6. 6:16Predicting throughput with time series
  7. 7:20Optimal stopping classifier
  8. 8:42TurboTest framework
  9. 9:44TurboTest vs BBR
  10. 11:30Real-world cost impact
  11. 11:51Gigabit Ethernet performance
  12. 13:14Key takeaways
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