Just a Few Seeds More: The Inflated Value of Network Data for Diffusion...
summary
Shows that under the classic SIR/independent cascade model, seeding s + x random people often outperforms optimally chosen s seeds: simulations on 75 Indian villages, a Chinese field dataset and Facebook graphs find random seeding with 3 extra seeds beats diffusion-central heuristics and even an omniscient benchmark. Theory proves this for inhomogeneous random graphs when the largest eigenvalue exceeds 1/C (a giant component exists), so the gap vanishes quickly and collecting full network maps is often not cost‑effective.
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chapters (11)
- 0:00The optimal seeding problem
- 2:12Applications and heuristics
- 5:55Empirical motivation
- 11:26Performance of random seeding
- 17:04Theoretical framework
- 20:15Model definition
- 24:57Main theorem and proof
- 30:37Percolation perspective
- 44:11Limitations and extensions
- 50:04Simulation and RCT evidence
- 55:03Conclusion and discussion
