I'm Almost Done! Why Our Brain Isn't Helping Us This Time...
summary
The talk explains cognitive biases that make developers repeatedly believe a task is "almost finished"—specifically two or three biases that amplify this optimistic forecasting—and proposes one or two team-level ideas to escape that trap. It focuses on the problem of persistent underestimation in everyday agile work (e.g., recurring unfinished user stories) and offers practical team strategies to mitigate it.
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chapters (15)
- 0:00I'm almost done! Why our brain isn't helping us this time... (David Laizé)
- 0:12Who is David Laizé?
- 1:00Who is Michel?
- 1:53Why has Michel been saying this for 4 days?
- 2:14Complex developments
- 3:40The vicious cycle
- 4:00Our largely superior judgment
- 6:36Positive bias 2
- 7:59Positive bias 3
- 9:13Positive bias 4
- 9:45Positive bias 5
- 10:24Positive bias 6
- 12:27Positive bias 7
- 13:15Positive bias 8
- 14:15Conclusion
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