~/talk

Gnosis AI: Onchain agents & longtail predictions markets

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slides:none on file

Agents run fully on-chain, call a dynamic tool registry and use an AI Mech to fetch evidence, scrape ~13 websites and output a P_yes 0.2 for “China invades Taiwan by end of 2025.” Hundreds of agents trade with individual budgets of a few dollars, each research run costing about 4 cents, and the best agent systems already solve ~50% of level‑1 and ~18% of level‑3 benchmark tasks. Claim: these self‑funding, spawnable agents become a new lifeform by 2030.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Prediction markets overview
  2. 1:41AI agents in action
  3. 5:22Market trading strategy
  4. 7:30General task agents
  5. 9:05Agent architecture
  6. 10:50Benchmarking AI performance
  7. 13:15Design evolution
  8. 14:16The future of AI life
  9. 16:13Implications and outlook
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