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Fireside Chat

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Career arc and concrete contributions cover a decades-long mix of theory and applied work: a Science paper that resolves Berkeley grad admissions / Simpson's paradox with department-level conditioning; foundational results in semi-parametric theory that feed modern causal inference; bootstrap and robust-statistics developments tied to computation; a nonparametric p-value approach and an ENCODE reproducibility / producer method used across a consortium; skeptical, example-driven notes on LLM limits and ChatGPT hallucinations, and a push for theoreticians to shape complex, computational science.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Welcome
  2. 1:48Early career and mentors
  3. 4:44Choosing statistics
  4. 8:31Influential figures
  5. 11:28Computation in research
  6. 12:57Proudest papers
  7. 18:10Robustness in statistics
  8. 23:32ENCODE contributions
  9. 26:04Theoreticians in AI
  10. 27:28Peter Bickel’s views on large language models
  11. 29:01Human thinking and AI
  12. 32:06Open questions in statistics
  13. 35:07Current interests
  14. 36:40ChatGPT experiences
  15. 40:20Publication culture
  16. 43:10Causal inference in economics
  17. 45:21Good theorems in ML
  18. 47:07Handling conflicting evidence
  19. 49:23Closing remarks
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