~/talk

Quantitative Trait Evolution when Mutations have Large Effects

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Develops a coalescent model for quantitative traits with loci drawing mutational effects from arbitrary kernels, computes joint distributions via characteristic functions, and takes large-locus limits. When effects have thin tails the limit is multivariate Gaussian and simulations show rapid convergence as loci increase; when effects follow power laws the limit is alpha-stable but extra pairwise correlations appear and simulations do not converge cleanly. Applies tests to ~300 RNA‑seq genes, finding 54 significant fits with inferred alpha ~1.4–1.8.

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  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 0:27Quantitative traits
  3. 1:07Fisher's quantitative trait model
  4. 2:46Neutral genetic variance
  5. 4:40Evidence for non-Brownian evolution
  6. 6:26A coalescent model
  7. 10:54Characteristic functions
  8. 12:06Characteristic function of a compound Poisson process
  9. 13:40Phenotype at the root
  10. 15:28Sending the number of loci off to infinity
  11. 16:25Decreasing mutation rate
  12. 17:10Small effect mutations
  13. 19:24A guess in the normal case
  14. 20:18Tempting interpretation and conjecture
  15. 21:23Testing the Gaussian conjecture
  16. 22:05Conjecture for the stable limit
  17. 22:18Testing the stable conjecture
  18. 23:36Stable limit for sample of size 4
  19. 24:25Extremely weak conjecture for large effect mutations
  20. 24:58Empirical data
  21. 26:13Distribution of p-values
  22. 27:49Conclusions
  23. 36:17One locus, sample of size 2 (CF)
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