The Future of the Mobile Web
summary
Claim: native and web coexist and the default flips toward web for many cases; choice depends on use case. Concrete predictions: cheap Android phones hit ~$75 by 2014–2015 while basic Nokias cost ~$25, and about 20 mobile browsers fragment the market. Working proofs: W3C widgets exchanged via peer-to-peer Bluetooth transfer (Symbian → Windows Mobile) after manifest fixes. Device APIs remain the bottleneck. Data and payments operate as JSON over SMS or operator billing; m‑Pesa style SMS payments already move large proportions of GDP.
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chapters (8)
- 0:00Start
- 1:07Native vs. web
- 2:29Native apps
- 3:11HTML5 apps
- 20:46JSON over SMS
- 23:07Money
- 29:11Payments
- 33:55End of app stores








