How Will Prediction Markets Shape Tomorrow?
summary
Prediction markets move from experiments to infrastructure: onchain tradable indices launch instantly versus a CME futures contract that takes about one year and ~$1M to list, while the CME hosts liquidity at quadrillions not yet on blockchain. One election market draws ~$4bn of stakes in a single market, inflation indices (Trueflation) aggregate prices across goods, and a media-partnership route (Sports Illustrated launch planned 2026) proves a consumer on‑ramp for retail hedging, arbitrage and AI‑driven signal extraction.
AI-written summary · about
chapters (12)
- 0:00Intro
- 0:12Panel welcome
- 2:40Galactic overview
- 4:33Index.fun vision
- 5:59Info finance
- 8:20Trump election example
- 10:21Hedging and inflation
- 11:21Beyond stock markets
- 16:31Simple definition
- 18:01Not the house
- 19:22Trueflation indices
- 22:40Closing remarks
related talks
20mGaming, Prediction Markets & AI: What’s Next for Blockchain
08mICE Goes Live With Futures Tied to CoinDesk Indices
04mDecentralized Exchanges, Global Regulation, and the Future of Crypto Adoption
13mCharles Hoskinson and Ding X on Predict.Fun, Privacy and Building in Public
06mFrom Listing to Futures
19mThe State of Web3 in 2024
29mDecentralised Exchanges: The Future Of Crypto Trading?
21mKeynote: Ethereum and AI: Synergies and Potential Applications