~/talk

NixtlaVerse, bridging the gap between statistics and deep learning for time series

Talkat PyData NYC 2022 · 2022-11-09..11-11· [machine-learning, data-visualization]
links:none on file
slides:none on file

NixtlaVerse delivers concrete tooling and numbers: StatsForecast (PyTorch + NumBa) runs AutoARIMA/ETS at scale — claim is 10 million series in under 43 minutes for under $20 — and classical ARIMA beats Prophet by ~70% accuracy while being ~40x faster. The neural stack NeuralForecast exposes ES‑RNN, N‑BEATS, and N‑HiTS; N‑HiTS targets long‑horizon forecasting with ~25% improvement over a top Transformer entry and roughly 50x less compute, and libraries are reproducible and benchmark‑focused.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:45Two mountains of forecasting
  3. 3:31Why forecasting matters
  4. 7:22Classical statistical methods
  5. 13:00StatsForecast library
  6. 14:03Deep learning methods
  7. 17:11Bridging traditions
  8. 20:43N-HiTS architecture
  9. 24:56Nixtla ecosystem
  10. 25:37Hierarchical forecasting
  11. 27:01Q&A
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