~/talk

(Serious) Time for Time Series

Talkat PyCon DE & PyData Berlin 2022 · 2022-04-11..04-13· [machine-learning]
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Shows hands‑on work with an air‑quality dataset (California, 2007–2017) using Jupyter notebooks and Pandas to parse timestamps, resample, and compute rolling means (7, 20, 50, 365‑day windows). Demonstrates rolling average smoothing to expose trend and weekly/weekday aggregations to find worst periods, then builds a forecasting baseline with linear regression with one‑hot month encoding and column transformers. Introduces gradual/gaussian seasonal filters to smooth month‑to‑month jumps and isolate trend versus seasonality for modeling and outlier detection.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction and setup
  2. 10:15Time series basics
  3. 29:00Smoothing techniques
  4. 43:50Trend modeling
  5. 58:31Seasonality and wrap-up
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