What's Old Is New Again
summary
Claims that high interest rates (Fed 0.25% → ~5%) shrink VC and IPO activity, trigger a 2023 layoffs spike, and make profitable giants still cut staff; cites Blue Sky: 2 devs → 6-month iOS/Android, 6→12 devs, 1→5.5M users contrasted with Instagram 2010 timelines. Shows tooling choices that actually mattered: TypeScript + Expo/React Native across stack enabling tiny teams, predicts monolith-first, more full‑stack and left‑shifted duties, fewer bespoke platforms, Shopify‑style mastery scores replacing frequent promotions. AI acts as assistant, not replacement.
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chapters (9)
- 0:00Introduction
- 3:07Tech change feels familiar
- 9:07Tech trends now
- 15:30Interest rates and tech investment
- 24:43New reality for engineers
- 30:25Engineering in constraints
- 38:31Dot-com bust lessons
- 46:22Career advice uncertain times
- 48:51Q&A
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