~/talk

Tom Lee: Bear Market Is 'Definitively Over' If BTC Goes Above $76K This Month

Talkat Consensus Miami 2026 · 2026-05-05..05-07· [finance-and-economics]
name:Tom Lee
links:none on file
slides:none on file

Claim that the bear market is definitively over if Bitcoin closes above $76,000 this month and that a market regime flip is signaled by three consecutive months of positive monthly closes. The rule is concrete: month-end close above that threshold counts toward the streak. Historical note: since Bitcoin inception three up months never occur while two consecutive up months did happen in 2022, so the test hinges on a single additional monthly close.

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