Unifying Online and Offline Worlds
summary
A machine learning pipeline that merges website, social, email and point‑of‑sale data into a centralized store and uses probabilistic matching plus deterministic IDs, graph‑based entity resolution and privacy‑preserving hashing to link customers across devices. Models combine gradient boosting, neural nets and survival analysis to measure incrementality; results report social amplifying email by 34% and instore visits after browsing converting at 2.8x. Outputs feed automated budget optimization, AB tests and campaign activation; privacy via federated learning and differential privacy and a recommended MVP starting with two channels.
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chapters (11)
- 0:00Intro: Meet Ash & the Goal—Unifying Online + Offline Attribution
- 0:16The Modern Consumer Journey (Why Paths to Purchase Are Non‑Linear)
- 0:46Why Traditional Attribution Fails: Fragmentation, Linear Models, Offline Gaps
- 1:25The Unified ML Attribution Framework: Data, Models, Identity, Activation
- 2:24Cross‑Channel Identity Resolution: Linking People Across Devices & Stores
- 3:10Feature Engineering + ML Models: Capturing Interactions & Incrementality
- 3:52What You Discover: Cross‑Channel Synergies You’d Otherwise Miss
- 4:23Activation: Turning Attribution Insights into Budget & Campaign Decisions
- 4:51Future‑Proofing: Privacy‑First, Adaptive Retraining, and AI/LLM Integration
- 5:26Measuring Success: ROI, Budget Efficiency, and Accuracy Gains
- 5:51Roadmap + Wrap‑Up: Start Small, Build Identity, Iterate Fast
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