~/talk

The Resilient Hard Disk Drive (1984 to 2062)

Talkat CloudFest 2023 · 2023-03-20..03-24· [computing-history]
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slides:none on file

Toshiba frames current progress around the 20 TB Toshiba MG10 with a simple roadmap to 22 TB then 24 TB and shows a live 1.5 PB demo cluster. Historical scaling from 20 MB to 20 TB supports bold extrapolations: about 20 PB by 2042 and 20 EB by 2062. Near-term capacity gains come from MAMR and mechanical tweaks to platters reaching 30–40 TB, while HAMR with lasers targets 100–200 TB but faces material wear. Quartz and DNA promise dense cold storage experimentally only.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 1:44Anniversary
  3. 3:39Megabyte
  4. 5:08petabyte
  5. 7:34exabyte
  6. 9:51DNA
  7. 11:41Current Situation
  8. 13:37Future Technologies
  9. 16:39Toshiba booth
  10. 18:56Conclusion
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