Market Outlook for Crypto Hedge Funds
summary
Panel reports that 2018’s winners are arbitrage and quant strategies while discretionary directional bets suffer through repeated ~80% drawdowns; liquidity and exchange microstructure now drive price discovery as large derivative liquidations pull spot markets. Shorting is constrained by high cross‑asset correlation, limited free float and exchange short capacity, and occasional 15% tether discounts create stablecoin basis trades. Expect more crypto‑native derivatives (hashrate swaps, fee swaps), synthetic prime brokerage to boost short capacity, and a possible psychological bottom near ~$3,800 after a final capitulation wick.
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chapters (12)
- 0:00Intro
- 1:08Lessons Learned
- 3:06Macro Trends
- 5:16Making Money
- 8:39Concentration Effect
- 10:12Stablecoins
- 11:47Stablecoin trends
- 13:22Opportunities
- 16:28Private VC Market
- 18:10STOs
- 21:40Intrinsic Value
- 22:59Tokenized Equity
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