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So you think you know about linear regression ...

Talkat The Fifth Elephant 2018 · 2018-07-26..07-27· [machine-learning]
slides:none on file

Explains how linear regression is a Bayesian generative model, where ridge regression = Gaussian prior and multicollinearity comes from a smeared likelihood not magic; shows tradeoffs between MCMC gives full uncertainty and MAP / SciPy / scikit‑learn give fast point estimates; runs concrete examples — fantasy sports, heavy‑equipment pricing, and a once‑profitable HFT strategy that later fails — and demos when changing error models or priors fixes instability.

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