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A Semantics for Counterfactuals in Quantum Causal Models

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Introduces a formal semantics that completes Pearl’s causal ladder for quantum setups by defining a quantum structural model built from Choi–Jamiolkowski operators and commuting channels, encoding interventions as instruments and probabilities via a generalized Born rule. Counterfactuals are evaluated by abduction-action-prediction on an updated process operator; key surprise is that counterfactual dependence can arise without causal influence, passive (no-intervention) versus active (do-like) readings matter, and the framework works for quantum experiments but leaves interpretational limits.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00UNIVERSITY
  2. 2:40What if?
  3. 3:17Similarity analysis of counterfactuals
  4. 4:14Counterfactuals and causation
  5. 7:33Intervention
  6. 9:16Pearl's three-step algorithm for counterfactuals
  7. 12:32Finely-tuned Bells
  8. 15:15Quantum causal models
  9. 20:32Signalling in unitary processes
  10. 21:10Quantum structural models
  11. 26:33Evaluation of counterfactuals
  12. 33:22Interpretation of counterfactual queries
  13. 35:17Passive vs Active?
  14. 35:54Example: Bell scenario
  15. 37:16"Active-observational" CF
  16. 38:26Summary
  17. 38:52Limitations
  18. 41:52Level 1 - Association
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