The Evolution of Onchain Derivatives
summary
Traces four generations of onchain derivatives and claims gen three drives explosive scale with dedicated exchange chains and bolt-on EVMs, citing $20B 24h volume, $650B over 30 days, and $14.7B open interest plus an October 10 peak of $80B traded. Names concrete protocols and models: dYdX order-book app chains, GMX GLP AMM liquidity model, Hyperliquid and Lighter exchange chains, Polymarket prediction markets, TradeXYZ RWA perps and the BVIV and EVIV indices on Bloomberg and TradingView.
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chapters (33)
- 0:00Introduction
- 0:33Meet Cole and Volmex Labs
- 0:55Volmex Volatility Indices Overview
- 1:44What Are Onchain Derivatives
- 2:10The Pros and Cons of Onchain Derivatives
- 2:32The Verticals of Onchain Derivatives
- 2:58The Four Generations Framework
- 3:20Gen One Pioneers: dYdX, Synthetix, Augur
- 3:57Why dYdX Was Ahead of Its Time
- 4:48Synthetix and Early RWA Exposure
- 5:06Augur as Polymarket Before Polymarket
- 5:27Gen Two: AMMs and Option Vaults
- 5:47The GMX and GLP Model
- 6:21Why AMMs Are Less Scalable Than Order Books
- 6:42Option Vaults Ahead of Their Time
- 7:06Gen Three: Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Lighter
- 7:42Perpetual Futures in 2025
- 8:08Why Exchange Dedicated Chains Unlock Scale
- 8:39The Rise of RWA Protocols
- 9:11Volume and Open Interest by the Numbers
- 9:46Rivaling Binance and Coinbase
- 10:08The October 10th All-Time High
- 10:28RWA Perpetuals and TradeXYZ
- 10:52The Official S&P 500 Perpetual
- 11:15FX Perpetuals on Lighter
- 11:49How the 2024 Election Crossed the Chasm
- 12:15Reading Markets Instead of Polls
- 12:37Fed and Asset Price Markets
- 13:02Volmex Markets on Polymarket
- 13:21Where Onchain Derivatives Go: Gen Four
- 13:46The Next Wave of Innovation
- 14:19Key Takeaways
- 14:45Closing
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