~/talk

The Evolution of Onchain Derivatives

Talkat ETHConf 2026 · 2026-06-08..06-10· [cryptography, microservices]
slides:none on file

Traces four generations of onchain derivatives and claims gen three drives explosive scale with dedicated exchange chains and bolt-on EVMs, citing $20B 24h volume, $650B over 30 days, and $14.7B open interest plus an October 10 peak of $80B traded. Names concrete protocols and models: dYdX order-book app chains, GMX GLP AMM liquidity model, Hyperliquid and Lighter exchange chains, Polymarket prediction markets, TradeXYZ RWA perps and the BVIV and EVIV indices on Bloomberg and TradingView.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:33Meet Cole and Volmex Labs
  3. 0:55Volmex Volatility Indices Overview
  4. 1:44What Are Onchain Derivatives
  5. 2:10The Pros and Cons of Onchain Derivatives
  6. 2:32The Verticals of Onchain Derivatives
  7. 2:58The Four Generations Framework
  8. 3:20Gen One Pioneers: dYdX, Synthetix, Augur
  9. 3:57Why dYdX Was Ahead of Its Time
  10. 4:48Synthetix and Early RWA Exposure
  11. 5:06Augur as Polymarket Before Polymarket
  12. 5:27Gen Two: AMMs and Option Vaults
  13. 5:47The GMX and GLP Model
  14. 6:21Why AMMs Are Less Scalable Than Order Books
  15. 6:42Option Vaults Ahead of Their Time
  16. 7:06Gen Three: Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Lighter
  17. 7:42Perpetual Futures in 2025
  18. 8:08Why Exchange Dedicated Chains Unlock Scale
  19. 8:39The Rise of RWA Protocols
  20. 9:11Volume and Open Interest by the Numbers
  21. 9:46Rivaling Binance and Coinbase
  22. 10:08The October 10th All-Time High
  23. 10:28RWA Perpetuals and TradeXYZ
  24. 10:52The Official S&P 500 Perpetual
  25. 11:15FX Perpetuals on Lighter
  26. 11:49How the 2024 Election Crossed the Chasm
  27. 12:15Reading Markets Instead of Polls
  28. 12:37Fed and Asset Price Markets
  29. 13:02Volmex Markets on Polymarket
  30. 13:21Where Onchain Derivatives Go: Gen Four
  31. 13:46The Next Wave of Innovation
  32. 14:19Key Takeaways
  33. 14:45Closing
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