Patterns & Perplexity: What Can We Expect from the Parrot on Our Shoulder?
summary
Claims current large models are pattern memorisers — a stochastic parrot — not agents with real understanding. Shows a GPT-4 experiment: a classic rope-burning timing puzzle and jug-volume puzzle where models regurgitate internet solutions, then break when numbers are changed (dividing values by three or asking for 35 minutes), inventing extra ropes and nonsensical steps. Describes Aleph Alpha work on visualizing learned patterns to enable human oversight, and frames models as unlimited interns that need explainability and intervention.
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