UTXOracle: Historical Significance of the On-Chain Price
summary
Claims that the historical Bitcoin price is recoverable from on‑chain UTXO patterns and demonstrates a working tool called UTXOracle: an open-source Python script that connects to a local node via uses local node RPC cookie, loads daily outputs, filters Taproot, removes batched/consolidation noise, builds a prototypical USD‑denominated spending day, then slides that stencil to find the best fit per day. It emits an HTML chart, runs quickly for recent days, needs heavy processing for full heatmaps, and reports prices within ~5% accuracy without external price feeds.
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chapters (6)
- 0:00UTXOracle introduction
- 1:45Bitcoin price on-chain
- 9:50Design philosophy
- 24:41Live demo: running UTXOracle
- 36:19Consensus and historical significance
- 39:48Conclusion and future
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