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Algorithmic Aspects of Causal Inference 2022

causal inference researchers, algorithm designers for learning, machine learning researchers, statistical learning theorists, fairness and accountability researchers, reinforcement learning researchers, network and systems researchers

restricted Boltzmann machines learning; Gaussian graphical model recovery; preconditioning for sparse regression; causal matrix completion methods; mixture model identification algorithms; infinite-horizon off-policy evaluation; stability and condition numbers; probabilistic circuits tractability; multicalibration and fairness; atomic-intervention causal discovery; invariant causal experiment selection; kernel methods for causal inference

titleauthorlength
Neural Networks And Spurious CorrelationsAditi Raghunathan40m
Neural nets often latch onto easy but unstable cues, producing high worst-group error when spurious attributes (like background color) are easier to learn than…
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Learning Restricted Boltzman MachinesAnkur Moitra44m
Proves bounded‑degree RBMs exactly capture order‑T binary Markov random fields, giving a sharp representational characterization; shows improper learning of…
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Learning Ill-Conditioned Gaussian Graphical ModelsRaghu Meka32m
Claims first fixed polynomial-time algorithms that learn attractive GGMs and walk-summable GGMs using logarithmic samples without condition-number assumptions…
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Preconditioning In Sparse Linear Regression Using Graphical StructureFrederic Koehler30m
Shows a concrete claim: when covariates form a low treewidth Gaussian graphical model there is an explicit change-of-basis (a preconditioner) that preserves…
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Causal Matrix CompletionAnish Agarwal29m
Provides a causal model (potential outcomes) for matrix completion under MNAR, shows entries can be identified even when observation probability is zero, and…
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Parameter Estimation For Undirected Graphical Models With Hard ConstraintsKavita Ramanan35m
Parameter estimation for hard-constraint undirected graphical models uses the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator, which for the hard-core model reduces to the…
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Efficient Distance Estimation And Causal Inference For Discrete ModelsArnab Bhattacharyya43m
Proves that TV computation is #P‑hard even for product distributions and that deciding TV zero versus nonzero becomes NP‑hard once node degree ≥2; gives an…
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Identifying Mixture ModelsLeonard J. Schulman40m
Algorithm solves source identification for a mixture of k product distributions on n binary bits (k-MixProd), recovering the k-column parameter matrix from…
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Identifying Mixtures Of Bayesian Network DistributionsYuval Rabani43m
Gives the first algorithm that identifies finite mixtures of Bayesian-network distributions beyond empty graphs by reducing to mixed PROD and then to mixed…
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Confounding-Robust Policy Evaluation In Infinite-Horizon Reinforcement LearningAngela Zhou28m
Claims a method to compute sharp bounds on infinite-horizon off‑policy values under unobserved time‑step confounding using a marginal sensitivity model…
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Stability Of Causal Identification From The Perspective Of Condition NumbersPiyush Srivastava29m
The work studies numerical and model robustness of causal identification by treating the symbolic output of the ID algorithm as a function of the observed…
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Causalsim: Trace-Driven Simulation For Network ProtocolsDevavrat Shah31m
CausalSim is a trace-driven counterfactual simulator that learns a causal network model from an initial RCT (PUFFER) to remove policy bias, maps counterfactual…
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Tractable Probabilistic CircuitsGuy Van den Broeck37m
Introduces tractable probabilistic circuits as sum‑product DAGs learned via Chow‑Liu → hidden tree → circuit and trained with mini‑batch EM on GPUs; achieves…
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A Multi-Group Approach To Algorithmic FairnessGuy N. Rothblum50m
Claims that multi-calibration yields predictors that are calibrated simultaneously over very rich, even exponential, families of overlapping subgroups and that…
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Decision-Making Under MiscalibrationGal Yona40m
Formalizes a distribution-free decision rule that picks the threshold minimizing worst-case regret over all predictors with at most anticipated miscalibration…
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Multicalibration, Universal Adaptability and CausalityOmer Reingold45m
Shows a concrete reduction from adapting a study to many unseen targets to enforcing multicalibration: under conditional independence (Y ⟂ Z | X) and mild…
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Algorithmic Fairness From The Lens Of Causality And Information TheorySanghamitra Dutta37m
Proposes a concrete measure of non-exempt disparity that separates bias explainable by chosen critical features from bias that is not, using causality plus…
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Orthogonal Statistical LearningVasilis Syrgkanis45m
Provides finite-sample guarantees that make nuisance estimation a second-order error source by using a two-stage sample-splitting meta-algorithm plus Neyman…
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The Approximate Implication Problem For Probabilistic Graphical ModelsBatya Kenig48m
Defines approximate implication as a linear inequality between mutual informations and asks when exact implications relax to such bounds, proving general…
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Challenges For Causal Inference On Digital PlatformsMoritz Hardt48m
A randomized audit uses 1% control / 4% treatment users on Twitter (April–Aug 2020) to define an amplification ratio and measures millions of political tweets…
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Active Invariant Causal Prediction: Experiment Selection Through StabilityChristina Heinze-Deml40m
Active Invariant Causal Prediction (called Active ICP) selects interventions to reveal direct parents of Y by testing which conditioning sets remain invariant…
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Simple Yet Efficient Estimators For Network Causal Inference...Christina Yu33m
Shows that under a heterogeneous linear outcomes model the total treatment effect reduces to a population mean of per-node “influences,” so a plain Bernoulli…
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Collaborative Causal Discovery With Atomic InterventionsShiva Kasiviswanathan31m
Defines a collaborative model that recovers multiple causal graphs (as Maximal Ancestral Graphs (MAGs)) when entities’ MAGs satisfy an α–β clustering…
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New Approaches To Learning Nonparametric (Latent) Causal Graphical ModelsBryon Aragam32m
Proves that under a subset condition on which latents connect to which observables and mild nondegeneracy, the bipartite graph and discrete latent distribution…
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Kernel Methods For Causal InferenceRahul Singh30m
Proposes a practical method that turns long‑term causal questions into three matrix computations: use kernel ridge regressions to learn a surrogate regression…
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