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Tom Britton

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Epidemic Models with Manual and Digital Contact TracingEpidemics and Information Diffusion (Simons Institute, 2022)2022-10-24
A Markovian stochastic SIR on a large, homogeneously mixing population uses infection rate β, recovery rate γ and diagnosis rate δ; manual tracing reaches each…
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Epidemics 2Graph Limits and Processes on Networks: From Epidemics to Misinformation Boot Camp2022-08-29
Standard stochastic SIR on N individuals is shown to couple to a branching process by constructing IID Poisson contact processes, IID infectious periods and…
Talk
Epidemics 3Graph Limits and Processes on Networks: From Epidemics to Misinformation Boot Camp2022-08-29
A branching‑process approximation gives the minor‑outbreak probability and the final‑size equation 1−τ = e^{−R0 τ}, and 10,000 simulations at R0=1.5…
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