~/talk

Monte Carlo Business Case Analysis with pandas

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Shows how to replace error-prone spreadsheets with python and pandas to run Monte Carlo business-case analysis, reading inputs with read_csv, joining with pandas.merge, simulating with groupby apply and broadcasting, and handling gaps with fillna. Builds an IPython notebook and bitbucket repo, runs 10,000 iterations on a farm-fruit example, produces histograms and a tornado sensitivity view, and reports a roughly 7–8% chance of loss — code executes and produces reproducible results.

AI-written summary · about

  1. 0:00Introduction
  2. 0:42What is business case analysis
  3. 1:48Monte Carlo business case analysis
  4. 2:23Spreadsheets
  5. 5:12Real world consequences
  6. 6:46Credit default swaps
  7. 7:55Why use pandas
  8. 10:56How pandas works
  9. 13:01Demonstration
  10. 13:36Model
  11. 14:14Read data
  12. 15:10Merge
  13. 16:01Group by
  14. 17:14Test functions
  15. 18:48Data manipulation
  16. 20:00Data calculation
  17. 20:57Fixed costs
  18. 22:13Profit
  19. 24:23Summary
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